盡管增加的速度有所放緩，歐盟有望在今年冬季到來(lái)之前填滿其天然氣儲(chǔ)備
【資料圖】
歐盟6月初的天然氣儲(chǔ)存量比10年同期平均水平高出48%
歐盟的目標(biāo)是到今年11月1日前將天然氣儲(chǔ)存量提高到90%，盡管天然氣價(jià)格在上漲，但需求仍然低迷
據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2023年6月29日?qǐng)?bào)道，挪威著名能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad Energy）預(yù)測(cè)，歐盟的天然氣儲(chǔ)存設(shè)施有望提前填滿。
西班牙《國(guó)家報(bào)》援引高級(jí)分析師陸明龐（音譯）的話報(bào)道說(shuō)：“考慮到歷史需求，并假設(shè)不同的供應(yīng)情況，儲(chǔ)存設(shè)施甚至可能在今年冬季之前就出現(xiàn)滿負(fù)荷，導(dǎo)致天然氣流量不得不轉(zhuǎn)移到其他地方。”
路透社的約翰·肯普6月早些時(shí)候表示，歐盟今年早些時(shí)候開(kāi)始填充其天然氣庫(kù)存，但最近的庫(kù)存增加速度有所放緩，這是因?yàn)樘烊粴獾蛢r(jià)格刺激了工業(yè)消費(fèi)者的更高需求。
肯普指出，在5月底天然氣儲(chǔ)存水平達(dá)到容量的三分之二之后，6月初的天然氣儲(chǔ)存水平比十年同期平均水平高出48%。
然而，由于去年的暖冬和價(jià)格過(guò)高導(dǎo)致的天然氣需求大幅下降，一開(kāi)始就有更多的天然氣被儲(chǔ)存起來(lái)。
根據(jù)Rystad Energy公布的數(shù)據(jù)，到6月25日為止，歐洲天然氣儲(chǔ)存量為76%，而去年同期為56%。歐盟的目標(biāo)是到今年11月1日達(dá)到90%的儲(chǔ)存水平。
與此同時(shí)，6月大部分時(shí)間氣價(jià)都在上漲，主要原因是挪威氣田維護(hù)作業(yè)導(dǎo)致天然氣生產(chǎn)中斷。《國(guó)家報(bào)》指出，6月到目前為止，歐盟的天然氣價(jià)格上漲了38%。
當(dāng)周，天然氣基準(zhǔn)價(jià)格進(jìn)一步上漲，達(dá)到每兆瓦時(shí)3575美元，這是因?yàn)樘鞖忸A(yù)報(bào)顯示，歐洲西北部的大部分地區(qū)——?dú)W洲最大的天然氣消費(fèi)地區(qū)——將迎來(lái)一個(gè)比以往更熱的夏季，并且至少持續(xù)到7月中旬。
然而，與五年平均水平相比，歐洲的天然氣總體需求仍然低迷，因?yàn)榻?jīng)濟(jì)放緩，盡管天然氣價(jià)格遠(yuǎn)低于去年夏天的歷史最高水平，但工業(yè)仍未轉(zhuǎn)向天然氣。
彭博新能源財(cái)經(jīng)分析師在本周早些時(shí)候的一份報(bào)告中寫(xiě)道：“本周歐洲的熱浪將增加用電量，但盡管天然氣價(jià)格下跌，今年歐洲的電力需求仍然低迷。”
李峻 譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)
原文如下：
Europe Set To Reach Natural Gas Storage Target Ahead Of Schedule
· The European Union is on track to fill up its natural gas storage ahead of winter this year, despite additions having slowed down.
· Natural gas storage levels at the beginning of June were 48% higher than the ten-year average for that time of year.
· The European Union aims to have storage levels at 90% by November 1, and while prices are rising – demand remains subdued.
The European Union is on track to fill up its natural gas storage facilities ahead of schedule, Rystad Energy has forecast.
“Considering historical demand, and assuming different supply scenarios, storage facilities could even be full ahead of winter this year, resulting in gas flows having to be diverted elsewhere,” senior analyst Lu Ming Pang said, as quoted by The National.
The EU began filling its gas storage earlier this year but lately the additions have slowed down, Reuters’ John Kemp reported earlier this month, as low prices stimulate higher demand from industrial consumers.
Kemp noted that the levels of gas in storage at the beginning of June were 48% higher than the ten-year average for that time of the year, after storage levels reached two-thirds of capacity in late May.
There was more gas in storage to begin with, however, due to last year’s mild winter and significantly lower gas demand because of excessive prices.
According to Rystad Energy, as of June 25, European gas storage was 76% full, compared to 56% a year earlier. The European Union targets a 90% fill level by November 1.
Prices, meanwhile, have been on the rise for most of this month, mostly because of production outages in Norway due to field maintenance. So far this month, gas prices in the EU have added 38%, The National noted.
This week, benchmark prices rose further, hitting $3575 per megawatt-hour as weather forecasts suggest that most of northwest Europe, the biggest consumers of gas, will see a hotter-than-usual start to the summer, to continue at least until the middle of July.
Overall demand for gas in Europe, however, remains subdued compared to the five-year average as economies slow down and industries haven’t switched to gas despite the much lower prices compared to the records seen last summer.
“The heat wave will increase electricity consumption this week, but Europe’s power demand remains subdued in 2023, despite lower prices,” BloombergNEF analysts wrote in a note earlier this week.
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